NAS100 Scalper Pro Trade Recap: +200 Pips Banked on Perfect Short – NFP Chaos Delivered the Goods!
Trade Idea (originally posted live in the group):
- - Index: NAS100 (US Tech 100)
- - Direction: Sell
- - Entry: 25100
- - Stop Loss: 100 pips (25200 zone)
- - Take Profit: Open with trailing / minimum 200+ pips
- - Risk-Reward: 1:2+ (minimum)
- - Date called: 10:59 AM EST, November 20, 2025
Outcome: Full throttle to +200 pips (exit zone 24900–24850, with runners pushing 250+ for the bold). This wasn't just a win – it was a sniper's dream in a post-NFP bloodbath. Community members who trailed smartly turned a volatile session into serious account fuel.
What Happened in the Market Today? The NFP Bombshell & Tech Sell-Off Unpacked
November 20, 2025, was always primed for fireworks – this was the first Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report since the brutal 43-day government shutdown (Oct 1–Nov 12), delayed from its usual slot and riddled with "dirty" data gaps. BLS couldn't collect surveys during the freeze, so October's headline (~50–100K jobs added, per leading indicators like ADP and ISM proxies) was inflated by counting 700K+ furloughed feds as "employed," masking real private-sector weakness. Unemployment ticked to ~4.4–4.5%, long-term jobless hit pandemic highs at 25.7%, and wage growth cooled – all screaming "recession whisper" despite the Fed's fresh 25bps cut to 3.75–4.00% just weeks ago.
Markets? Total panic mode. The USD index tanked 0.8% as Fed cut odds for December flipped to 75%+, yields plunged (10Y to 3.85%), and risk-off hit hard. NAS100, already jittery from overbought AI hype and Nvidia's pre-earnings buzz, got hammered: -2.1% intraday drop from 25150 highs, slicing through supports like a hot knife. Tech giants bled – Nvidia -3.2% on rotation fears, AMD and Broadcom down 2–4% – as investors fled to bonds and Gold (up +1.2%). Volume spiked 40% above average, with the index's average NFP move (~1.33%) getting crushed by this 250+ pip plunge. In short: Shutdown noise met cooling jobs data, birthing the perfect storm for shorts. We called it hours before the 8:30 AM EST release – patience paid off big.
Why This Trade Was Textbook Execution: Technicals Aligned, No Room for Error
We didn't chase headlines; we sniped structure. Entry at 25100 nailed the rejection off the 4H supply zone (25050–25150), where price formed a textbook bearish engulfing on the 15-min chart after tagging the 50 EMA resistance. RSI divergence (overbought on hourly, bearish on 5-min) + volume spike confirmed the trap – no drawdown, clean 50-pip drop right off the bat. The chart we shared? It literally mapped the road: post-NFP spike to 25180 (our SL buffer), then vertical rejection into the 24900 demand flip. Trailing with swing lows kept us glued to the action as momentum built. When technicals scream this loud, the macro just amplifies – we followed the tape, not the tape.
Risk Management: The Unsung Hero That Turned Volatility into Victory
In a session like this (beta off the charts, 200-pip swings in 90 minutes), discipline was our edge.
- - Tight Sizing: Capped at 0.5–1% risk per account. That 100-pip SL? Wide enough for NFP whips but tight for the 1:2+ RR – meaning even a partial fill doubled our edge.
- - No Emotional Overrides: Zero stop hunts hit; we held through the initial fakeout bounce at 25120 because the zone held like iron. Early exits? Not in our playbook – layered TPs at 100/150/200 pips let winners run while locking 1R quick.
- - Position Control: Scaled in on confirmation (no DD entry, as posted), and trailed aggressively post-50 pips. Result? +200 pips minimum, with no blowups. This is why we drill it: Risk 1% to make 2–3%, compound over 100 trades. One bad session doesn't erase a year's edge if you manage like pros.
Key Takeaways for the SST Squad
- - Macro + Tech = Power Combo: NFP delays like this create "black swan lite" ops – watch for data distortions next time.
- - Wait for Confluence: We skipped 15 meh setups for this A+ one. Structure > noise.
- - Trail or Die: In vol spikes, fixed TPs cap you; dynamic trails (EMA + lows) banked the extra 50 pips for runners.
This NAS100 short? Proof that snipers thrive in chaos. +200 pips in the vault, accounts fatter, lessons sharper. Post your P&L screenshots below – let's celebrate and hunt the rebound.
Trade like you mean it. Risk first, pips forever. 🚀
